Top 10 U.S. States Where Your Package Is Most at Risk: 2023 Rankings

• Alaska tops the ranking of the states where your parcel is most likely to be lost, with a 29% theft rate.
• New York has the lowest average lost package value of $30 among the top 10 states.
• Nevada's lost package value is the highest at $75.

Alaska tops the list of the states where your parcel is most likely to get lost, with 29% of packages reported as lost.

Ubuy Netherlands experts conducted extensive research to identify the U.S. states where your parcel is most likely to get lost in 2024. The ranking was based on the percentage of stolen packages in each state. The analysis also includes secondary metrics such as the number of stolen package-related searches on Google and the average value of stolen packages.

Alaska

Alaska tops the list as the state where your parcel is most likely to get lost, with a concerning 29% of packages reported as lost. While it leads in theft rate, it records the fewest stolen package searches among all states. (see the chart)

Delaware

Delaware, taking the 2nd spot on the list of the states where your parcel is most likely to get lost, has a 27.2% theft rate. Its average lost package value stands higher at $60, making it the 2nd-highest.

New York and Nevada

New York and Nevada, sharing the 3rd position, report an equal 26.9% theft rate. While New York has the lowest average lost package value of $30 among the top 10 states, it leads with searches related to stolen packages. On the other hand, Nevada's lost package value is the highest at $75, suggesting that even though their theft rates are similar, the financial impact is more significant in Nevada.

Rhode Island

With a 25.4% theft rate, Rhode Island ranks 4th riskiest state for the parcels. Its average lost package value stands at $40, which is significantly lower than Nevada's.

Hawaii

Hawaii ranks 5th on the list of the states where your parcel is most likely to get lost with a 25.2% theft rate. Interestingly, its average stolen package value rises again to $50, surpassing Rhode Island's.

West Virgini

West Virginia, coming in 6th on the list of the states where your parcel is most likely to get lost, has a 24.9% theft rate. Its profile closely aligns with Mississippi's and Rhode Island's, with an average lost package value of $40 and the number of searches related to stolen packages.

North Dakota

Taking the 7th position on the list of the states where your parcel is most likely to get lost, North Dakota, reports a 24.2% theft rate. The state shares the average lost package value of $50. with Hawaii.

Mississippi

Mississippi, with a theft rate of 23.6%, holds the 8th spot on the list of the states where your parcel is most likely to get lost. Its average lost package value of $40 makes it quite similar to West Virginia and Rhode Island.

Oklahoma

ranking 9th, has a 23.3% theft rate. Its average lost package value of $35 is only surpassed by New York in its low value. It stands out in terms of public concern as it has around 2K searches which indicates that people are very worried about their parcels’ fate in Oklahoma.

Kansas

Rounding off the top 10, Kansas reports a 23.2% theft rate, placing it as the 10th state where your parcel is most likely to be lost. Its average lost package value stands at $60, and mirrors Oklahoma with the searches related to stolen packages.

Findings summed up

Methodology:

E-commerce experts at Ubuy Netherlands conducted extensive research to identify the U.S. states where parcels are most likely to get lost in 2024. The research comprises various metrics, including the percentage of stolen packages in each state, the monthly number of stolen package-related searches on Google, and the average value of stolen packages. The states were then ranked based on the percentage of stolen packages in each state.